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VMA predictions: Odds favor Taylor Swift, Harry Styles, Lizzo …

The MTV Video Music Awards are on Sunday night, August 28, broadcasting live from the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. But who will win when moon person trophies are handed out? Scroll down for our complete racetrack odds in 15 categories, which are based on the combined predictions of hundreds of Gold Derby users who have placed their bets here in our predictions center. Our projected winners are highlighted in gold.

We’re betting on Taylor Swift to go three-for-three in the categories we’re forecasting: Video of the Year, Best Long Form Video, and Best Direction, all for the short film she directed to accompany her 10-minute extended version of “All Too Well.” If we’re right about the top category, Swift would make history as the first artist ever to win Video of the Year three times. She previously prevailed for “Bad Blood” featuring Kendrick Lamar and “You Need to Calm Down.” Goodness knows she’s used to historic three-peats. At the Grammys she’s the only woman with three Album of the Year titles (for “Fearless,” “1989,” and “Folklore“). And if she wins the directing prize, she’ll be only the second female director to win twice, following Valerie Faris.

But we’re expecting fan-voters to spread the wealth, so Swift will have plenty of company in the winner’s circle. Harry Styles is favored to prevail twice: Artist of the Year and Best Pop Video for “As It Was.” Also with two wins predicted is Lizzo: Song of the Year and Video for Good, both for her chart-topping hit “About Damn Time.” And breakthrough rapper Latto is anticipated to take home double prizes for Best New Artist and Best Hip-Hop Video for “Big Energy.” See who else we’re betting on in our official VMA predictions below. And make sure you enter or update your predictions here before winners are announced this weekend.

Taylor Swift, “All Too Well” — 5/1
Harry Styles, “As It Was” — 11/2
Lil Nas X feat. Jack Harlow, “Industry Baby” — 6/1
Doja Cat, “Woman” — 13/2
Drake feat. Future and Young Thug, “Way 2 Sexy” — 13/2
Olivia Rodrigo, “Brutal” — 13/2
Ed Sheeran, “Shivers” — 7/1

Harry Styles — 9/2
Bad Bunny — 11/2
Drake — 6/1
Lil Nas X — 13/2
Lizzo — 13/2
Ed Sheeran — 13/2
Jack Harlow — 7/1

Latto — 7/2
Baby Keem — 9/2
Seventeen — 5/1
Dove Cameron — 11/2
Maneskin — 6/1
Gayle — 7/1

Lizzo, “About Damn Time” — 37/10
The Kid LAROI and Justin Bieber, “Stay” — 4/1
Billie Eilish, “Happier Than Ever” — 5/1
Adele, “Easy on Me” — 11/2
Doja Cat, “Woman” — 13/2
Elton John and Dua Lipa, “Cold Heart” — 7/1

The Kid LAROI and Justin Bieber, “Stay” — 5/1
Lil Nas X feat. Jack Harlow, “Industry…

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